by LUKE ZUNGA
JOHANNESBURG, (CAJ News) – SOUTH Africa and indeed Africa is in the firing line of the United States.
To understand where South Africa sits, one has to diagnose the US Defense Strategy (DNS) for 2026, premised on hemispheric dominance.
In Europe, Donald Trump ordered the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) countries and all allies to increase contributions to their defense budgets by 2% to 5% to take more responsibility for their security needs, to reduce reliance on the US.
It is not regarded as disengagement but rationalizing US global military spending. This gives the US flexibility to deploy to other key areas such as the hemisphere of Africa.
The US executes the strategy, often giving false and conflicting reasons, to camouflage their real goals. Strategically South Africa is a dominant position of interest.
The Genius Group (GNS) is adjusted in the Indo-Pacific, the areas of Indonesia, South China Sea region, to that of acknowledging China as a power but not to allow China to dominate.
Current policy is not to threaten China, but to neutralize Chinese growing dominance. China is not an aggressive country but its claims to Taiwan and South China Seas where it is developing defense and territorial related islands is haunting the US.
Indonesia, which was a previous American colony, is asked to increase its defense spending. Japan and South Korea are also asked to contribute more significantly to their defense spending and related industries in the face of North Korea.
The US rested the USS Gerald R Ford Carrier Strike Group, sending the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group out of the Indo-China region to the Gulf, partly to reduce hostility with China, while targeting to neutralize Iran.
The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group has now entered the Persian Gulf.
Persian Gulf countries; Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Oman, have a joint defence pact, under the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) comprising missile warming systems and military communications.
Saudi Arabia signed a defence agreement with Pakistan, a nuclear capable country on September 17, 2025, that includes military, intelligence, and potential nuclear cooperation.
The strategy is not to rely on one the US. The fact that Saudi Arabia entered into the agreement with Pakistan in 2025 is significant.
It is sending caution to the US. Currently Russia is tied to the Ukraine war where she has not made decisive ground.
Which means Russia is somehow contained to significantly defend Iran.
The strategy in Arab countries, where the US has about 20 military bases, is different. They are not ordered to increase military spending because it would neutralize Israel. The strategy is to strengthen Israel and to be the dominant military force.
Iran is not a member of the GCC and therefore exposed. But Iran has defence agreements with Russia, China and Belarus.
Iran has trade agreements with Turkey. The US is accusing Iran of killing protestors and dangling negotiations to force Iran to abide by US demands to stop uranium enrichment, to destroy arms buildup and to stop supporting Hamas, Hezbollah and the Hutus in Yemen.
The whole region is under US control. The only grey area is whether an attack on Iran would immediately attract Russia and whether Iran would strike American bases which are not protected by the same dome as with Israel. That isolates Iran in the region and the strategy is regime change.
Cuba is squeezed and any country supplying oil to Cuba is subjected to tariffs. Cuba sourced oil from Venezuela, Russia and Iran but Venezuela can no longer supply anymore.
The US is the largest producer of oil in the world but does not supply Cuba because of the US embargo, which Barack Obama removed but was immediately reinstated by his successor Donald Trump in his first term which commenced 20 January 2017.
Cuba is struggling with shortages of energy and its economy cannot grow.
The threat of Cuba was its proximity to Russia for which it has paid a high price, and the strategy is regime change.
In the Caribbean all the islands are silenced with the invasion of Venezuela, amid heavy militarization by sea and air.
The other hemisphere is Africa.
The US is coming through Nigeria, to help fight Boko Haram, but in fact it is to nestle its way into control of Africa. Nigeria cannot refuse US maneuvers, to fight the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) terrorism.
The country which is repugnant is South Africa which controls the critical parts of the Indian Ocean and of the Atlantic. The Cape route is so important that it is on the US radar.
The weakness of South Africa is its population.
The Afrikaners want to align with the US to destroy the African National Congress (ANC).
Groups such as Afri Forum cannot be trusted to be allegiant to South Africa. Then the Jews in South Africa have a soft heart for Israel.
They are courting the US to destroy the ANC. The spokesperson for the group Wendy Khan, the National Director and key spokesperson for the South African Jewish Board of Deputies (SAJBD), was critical of the South African government dispatch of the Israeli chargé d’affaires, Ariel Seidman, sending waves of US retaliation.
These two groups control the economy of South Africa. South Africa is vulnerable to the US demanding conditions for these two groups and retaliation for expulsion of the Israel envoy as well as the ICJ case.
The real aim though would be to control the Cape route.
The US also moves to dismantle and control countries which aim to trade oil out of the US dollar, which BRICS is and South Africa again is part of that.
Africa has several defence pacts such as the African Union Non-Aggression and Common Defence Pact, adopted in 2005 and in force from 2009, the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Mutual Defence Pact approved in 2003, the Alliance of Sahel States (AES), Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) which came into effect in 1999, and African Standby Force.
These are weak arrangements.
South Africa must be more engaged to strengthen its African defence, starting with SADC.
The problem with South Africa is that it is led by technocrats, not politicians.
For example, the technocrats insist that there is no funding to start factories or any business, keeping the country poor and unable to express its muscle, to the glee of those who control the economy.
The solution is there at www.orgnizecapitals.com but the politicians only listen to technocrats. Watch out South Africa, the USA is coming!
– CAJ News